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LTC 067-2011 Analysis of Budget M1,AM.1 OFFICE OF THE CITY MANAGER os7 -201 LETTRR (llON NO. LTC #' { - 1 1'TY CL I; JA OFF ICE TO:'. Mayor Matti Herrera Bower and Members of the City Commission FROM: Jorge M. Gonzalez, City Manager DATE: March 23, 2011 SUBJECT: ANALYSIS OF BUDGET TO ACTUA EVENUES AND EXPENSES FOR THE THREE .MONTHS ENDED DECEMBER 31, 2010, WITH OPERATING BUDGET PROJECTIONS THROUGH SEPTEMBER 30, 2011 FOR THE GENERAL FUND The purpose of this LTC is to provide the Mayor and Commission with'the status of the FY 2010/1.1 budget to actual revenue and expenses. at the end of the first ,gparter with projections through, September 30, 2011. Based on the review, it is projected °that, overall, that General Fund revenues will essentially. equal General Fund expenditures if the City does not fully expend its operating contingency. While we rarely fully expend the operating contingency by the end of the fiscal year, at this stage of budget projections,,we take a more conservative- approach and assume that..the contingency .will be fully expended. If the .,operating contingencyis fully spent, there will be an operating budget shortfall of $1.2 million (0.5%) in the General :Fund. It is important to note that this is despite a projected revenue shortfall of $1.6 million and .pension contributions in excess off budget by approximately ` $665,000 as explained further below. This represents already the absorption of nearly $2.2 million in deviations,from budget, once. again reflecting the pro- active initiatives taken by the City to reduce expenses below the adopted budget. At this stage of projecting the fiscal year end, there are many issues still to be determined. The first 3 months of any.fiscal year are not necessarily the most reliable, indication of the remainder of the year, but do give us ' a first .glance of _potential Tissues. As you know, balancing the budget for FY 2010/11 was an extremely challenging exercise over a series of _committee. meetings. Certain assumptions on both revenue :and expenditures were made that are still developing and will be adjusted in later projections .'.Those assumptions, as well as our continued effort 'at managing the City's resources and ,continued adjustments to revenues and expenditures line items throughout the year will affect our projections going forward. - Overview An analysis of the actual-three month operating_ revenues and expenditures for the period October 1, 2010 through December 31, 2010, reveals an operating' budget surplus of $49,571 *,670: While the. surplus as. of December. 31 st seems unusual as compared to the shortfall projected for the year ending on .September 30 th , . it should` be noted that the City receives a greater percentage, historically approximately 60 % of its ad valorem taxes in the first quarter. Ad valorem tax revenues representing approximately 47 %, of total revenues have been almost 69% received as of the first quarter of the fiscal year, a level slightly higher than the same'period last'year. The remaining 53% of revenues are approximately at` %0 the 23 level as of December 31 St as compared to 22% as of the first quarter of last fiscal year. LTC ANALYSIS OF BUDGET TO ACTUAL REVENUES AND EXPENSES FOR THE THREE MONTHS ENDED DECEMBER 31, 2010, WITH OPERATING BUDGET PROJECTIONS THROUGH SEPTEMBER 30, 2011 FOR THE GENERAL FUND Page 2 Expenditures are at approximately 24% of the FY 2010/11 budget,however, there are often delays in expenditures in the first quarter of the year. FY 2010/11 Budget Actual as of Variance Over/ General Fund Adopted Budget* 1/4 of Budget 12/31/10 (Under) Revenues. $ 237,518,114 $ 59,379,529. $ 106,044,817 $ 46,665,288 Expenditures 237,518,114 59,379,529 56,473,147 (2,906,382) Surplus /(Deficit) $ - $ - $ 49,571,670 $ 49,571,670 Note'. The adopted budget reflected above is prior to the budget amendment that was adopted in February, 2011. This amendment authorized the use of $1.95 million in reserves to be set aside for the FY 2011/12 budget, and has no impact on the net of revenues versus expenditures. The amendment will be reflected as of the second quarter analysis of actual revenues to expenditures. The projected year -end operating revenues and expenditures through September 30, 2011, is, therefore, a more realistic snapshot of anticipated shortfall at this point in time. Further, while the actual revenues and expenditures presented are as of December 31, 2010, the projections have incorporated more recent information as available. A summary of preliminary projected. General Fund Revenues. and Expenditures as of September 30, 2011 is as follows: FY 2010/11 Budget % Over/ General Fund Adopted Budget Projected Budget/ Projected (Under) Revenues $ 237,518,114 $ 235,900,770 $ (1,617,344) -0.7% Expenditures* 237,518,114 235,960,069 (1,558,045) -0.7% Surplus /(Deficit). $ - $ (59,299) $ (59,299). Operating Contingency $ 1,100,000 Net surplus (Deficit) $ (1 * Prior to Expenditure of Operating Contingency While property tax revenues were significantly reduced in FY 2008/09 and.FY 2009/10 (2.3% and 1.6% below budget at year -end, respectively), we are projecting full collections this year. Although the exact amounts are unknown, the FY 2008/09 and FY 2009/10 property tax revenues were impacted by appeals that continued into the current fiscal year. These outcomes from these appeals are therefore accruing to the FY 2010/11 fiscal year and may increase current property year tax revenues, as evidenced by the year to date collections being above prior years. On the other hand, there may be an impact from FY 2009/10 appeals that will result in revenues that will not be collected until FY 2011/12, however, at this point the extent and amount of the impact is unknown. In addition, the projections assume decreased telephone and electricity franchise taxes (Other Taxes) primarily due to the expiration of an additional fuel surcharge on electrical bills, decreased interest earning, and decreased revenues previously anticipated from the Commercial Pole Banner Program and corporate sponsorships which are still being pursued and negotiated. In addition, fines and forfeit revenues are projected to be below budget primarily due to red light camera revenues not performing at the level previously anticipated i LTC ANALYSIS OF BUDGET TO ACTUAL REVENUES AND EXPENSES FOR THE THREE MONTHS ENDED DECEMBER 31, 2010, WITH OPERATING BUDGET PROJECTIONS THROUGH SEPTEMBER .30, 2011 FOR THE GENERAL FUND Page 3 as reported to you at the March, 2011 Commission meeting.- These are partially offset by increased sales tax revenues (Intergovernmental Revenues), increased Business Tax Receipts and Building Permits (Licenses and Permits), and increased Rents and Leases based on year -to -date collections. As noted above, the expenditure for pension contributions is expected to be approximately $665,000 above budget for the following reasons: • The.2% pension contribution from FY 2009/10 for AFSCME, GSA, Unclassified and "Other" employees, previously anticipated to - reduce the ARC payment for FY 2010/11, is now anticipated to accrue to FY 2011/12. • Further, other than the pension plan savings resulting from no cost -of living adjustments to the FOP and 1AFF bargaining units, other Fire and Police pension plan savings anticipated for FY 2010/11 are. pending the outcome of the litigation between the City and the Fire and Police Pension Board `However, as in the last few years since the economic decline, the expenditure projection continues to reflect the impact of pro- active initiatives by the City to reduce expenses below the adopted budget. These initiatives included close scrutiny of major purchases, and continuous evaluation of opportunities to reduce costs in all departments. For a detail of General Fund Revenues by category and Expenditures by Department, see attached schedule. Detailed comments on those revenue and expenditure categories with significant variances over $300,000 are shown below. General Fund Operating Revenues As of December 31, 2010, revenues collected were approximately 45% of budget or $106;044 Historically, the City receives approximately 60% of its ad valorem taxes in the first quarter, which must be considered when analyzing actual revenues and formulating year- end revenue projections. Year -end projections through September 30, 2011 which total $235,900,770 indicate that revenues will be below budget by $1.6 million or approximately 0.7 %. Significant variances to budget in excess of $300,000 by revenue category are explained below: 1. J Intergovernmental Revenues - This category includes sales tax revenues, including local option sales taxes and is projected to be in excess of budget by $548,284 and in excess of prior year intergovernmental revenues by over $800,000, reflecting continuing improvement in the economy. 2. Other Taxes - This category includes franchise and utility taxes on. services. Projections indicate that year -end collections will be below budget by over $2 million (8 %). This is primarily due to a decrease of approximately $1.5 million in revenues due to the expiration of a fuel surcharge on electric_ ity, as well as almost $500,000 decrease in telephone utility taxes based on trends for the first three months of the fiscal year. 3. Licenses and Permits - This category includes licenses and building and special use permits and is projected to be above budget by approximately $1.2 million, primarily due to continued increases in revenues from Business Tax Receipts as. a result of increased compliance with Business Tax Receipt requirements. as well as increases in LTC ANALYSIS OF BUDGET TO ACTUAL REVENUES AND EXPENSES FOR THE THREE MONTHS ENDED DECEMBER 31, 2010, WITH OPERATING BUDGET PROJECTIONS THROUGH SEPTEMBER 30; 201 1 'FOR THE GENERAL FUND Page 4 revenues related to Certificate of Use and the building development process across all departments involved, also estimated to be as a result of an improving economy. 4. Fines and Forfeits - Projections indicate that year -end collections will be below budget. by 26% or $847,000. This is mainly due to lower than expected revenues from red light cameras as reported to you at the March, 2011 Commission meeting. 5. Miscellaneous — This category includes concessions, planning fees, and other reimbursements. Projections indicate that year -end revenues will be 5% below budget or $577,000. This is due primarily to lower than anticipated revenues from. the Commercial - Pole Banner Program and corporate'sponsorships which are still being pursued and negotiated. General Fund Operating Expenditures As of December 31, 2010, actual expenditures were approximately 24% of budget. or $56,473,147. Year -end projections through September 30, 2011 indicate that expenditures will be $237 million approximately $450,000, or 0.2% under - budget, assuming operating contingency is fully expended. It is important to note that the budgets at the time of adoption, the City was at impasse with the Communication Workers of America (CWA) bargaining unit, and the budget included the impact of several initiatives that would have significantly reduced expenditures related to CWA employees through contracting, conversion to part -time schedules for more efficient scheduling, etc. (Plan B). The first -year savings from these initiatives amounted to over $200,000 in the General Fund across various departments. Not being able to anticipate the outcome of these negotiations at the time of adopting the budget, an increased operating contingency was budgeted under the Citywide Accounts. Subsequent to the adoption, aa� agreement was reached with CWA that included several employee give -backs that fully met our budgeted savings in exchange fora no- layoff provision. Therefore the proposed plan B initiatives will not be implemented and some departments could see variations. in their budget. At this time, no department is anticipated to be significantly over budget, despite absorbing the pension expenditure impacts and the impacts from no lay -offs of CWA employees as described above. r Details on expenditures by department are provided in the attached schedule. 'CONCLUSION This analysis of budget to. actual operating revenues and expenses for the General 'Fund with pro1ections through September 30, 2011, provides the status of the FY 2010/11 General Fund Budget as of the first three months of the Fiscal Year. The Administration will continue to monitor revenues and expenses to ensure that we close the fiscal year in a positive position with overall revenues exceeding overall expenses. 4 JMG /KGB /JC FY 2010/11 General Fund Operating Summary Projection Adopted Actual as of Projected Proj -Adptd FY 2010/11 Dec. 31, 2010 FY 2010/11 Over/ Under REVENUES Ad Valorem Taxes $ 100,222,022 $ 68,952,678 $ 100,222,022 0 Ad .Valorem Taxes -S Pte Costs 10,145,339 6,979,986 10,145,339 0 Ad Valorem Cap.Renewal & Replace. 1,777,2'54 1,222,749 1,777,254 0 Ad Valorem Taxes -Norm Shores 100,517 69,156 100,517 0 Other Taxes 25,417,600 4,238,037 23,368,256 (2,049,344) Licenses and Permits 15,506,204 7,844,145 16,679,129 1,172,925 Intergovernmental 9,618,140 1,736,548 10,166,424 548,284 Charges for Services 4,843,895 936,332 4,851,439 7,544 Golf Courses 5,504,155 1,271,643• 5,533,155 29,000 Fines and Forfeits 3,211,263 452,223 2,364,126 (847,137) Interest 3,552,000 942,851 3,459,000 (93,000) Rents and Leases 4,892,352 839,826 - 5,084,188 191,836 Miscellaneous 11,392,781 2,462,709 10,815,329 (577,452) Other - Resort Tax contribution 24,465,440 6,116,360 24,465,440 0 Other - Non Operating revenues 8,065,443 1,979,574 8,065,443 0 Reserve- Building Department Ops. 1,546,709 0 1,546,709 0 FY 09 Year -End Surplus Set Aside 3,657,000 - 0 3,657,000 0 Prior Yr Surplus from Parking Oper Fd 3,600,000 0 3,600,000 0 Fund Balance 0 0 0 0 TOTAL REVENUES $ 237,518,114 _ $ .106,044,817 $. .235,900,770. $ 1,61 -7,344 EXPENDITURES Mayor and Commission $ 1,534,322 $ 380,094 $ 1,487,824 $ (46,498) City Manager 2,350,894 497,083 2,198,611 (152,283) Communications 878,482 206,399 889,716 11,234 City Clerk 1,500,597 333,573 1,460,187 (40,410) Finance 4,124,205 971,289 4,085,703 (38,502) Office of Budget & Perf Improve. 1,820,829 434,639 1,750,219 (70,610) Human Resources /Labor Relations 1,697,128 407,146 1,710,945 13,817 Procurement 969,238 251,107 979,794 10,556 City Attorney 4,002,642 913,121 4,038,783 36,141 Real Estate, Housing & Comm Dev 776,768 216,054 784,458. 7,690 Community Services 430,093 105,348 430,093 0 Homeless Services 759,337 167,690 759,337 0 Building 9,316,891 2,104,967 9,355,014 38,123 Code Compliance 4,146,931 966 4,311;791 164,860 Planning 3,113,588 704,098 3,186,731 73,143 Tourism & Cultural Development 2,643,624 673,896 2,584,534 (59,090) Parks and Recreation 21,648,891 4,674,724 21,479,374 (169,517) Golf Courses 6,123,820 2,046,696 5,994,386 (129 Public Works 6,372,884 1,359,810 6,268,714 (104,170) ' Capital Improvement Program 4,520,748 1,011,191 4;325,000 (195,748) Fire 56,115,331 14,208,316 56,013,814, (101,517) Police 88,920,529 22,430,067 89,100,548 180,019 Citywide Accounts 9,578,508 1,409,459 9,914,561 336,053 Citywide Acc- Operating Contingency 1,321,902 0 0 (1,321,902) Citywide Accounts - Normandy Shore 157,678 0 157,678 0 Citywide Accounts - Transfers 915,000 0 915,000 0 i Capital Renewal& Replacement 1,777,254 0 1,777,254 0, TOTAL EXPENDITURES $ 237,518,114 $ 56,473,147 $ 235,960,069 $ 1,558,045 I EXCESS OF REVENUES OVER / UNDER EXPENDITURES $ 0 $ 49,571,670 $ 59,299 $. 59,299 i Citywide Ac6-Operating Contingency 0 0 1,100,000 1,100,000 EXCESS OF REVENUES OVER/ (UNDER)'EXPENDITURES (NET OF I OPERATING CONTINGENCY ) $ 0 $ 49,571,670 $ 1,159,299 $ 1,159,299 I