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LTC 152-2003 CITY OF MIAMI BEACH Office of the City Manager Letter to Commission No. 1')'2- 2 CJD'3 ~ Subject: Mayor David Dermer and Members of the City Commission Jorge M. Gonzalez \.y-~ City Manager U - 0 UPGRADE OF CITY BOND RATINGS Date: July 3, 2003 To: From: I am pleased to advise you that Standard & Poor's has upgraded their rating on the City's bonds from an A+ to an M- which is the second upgrade for the City from this firm in six months. In addition, Moody's has affirmed their A1 rating and has upgraded their outlook for the City from stable to positive. Both ratings were performed during the agencies visits to the City where presentations were made coupled with extended City tours. This is a very significant accomplishment for the City of Miami Beach and reflects continuing efforts to improve our financial position by all of you, the Administration and particularly by our Chief Financial Officer, Trish Walker. Further, this upgrade brings our ratings to the highest level the City has ever enjoyed. The Standard & Poors rating report indicates the upgrade was "based on sustained strong financial performance bolstered by established fiscal policies, and strong reserve levels along with ongoing growth and diversification in the tax base". Particular mention was made of the City's role as a local, regional, and international year-round tourism destination, the strong growth of a large tax base and strong financial performance and position. Moody's rating affirmation and change to a positive outlook is based on the City's solid tourism/entertainment based economy, well-managed financial operations and manageable debt load. The rating also recognizes that while the softening of the tourism market as well as rapid budgetary growth are issues facing the City, the long-term credit fundamentals remain positive. This second upgrade in a six month period is particularly significant because of its timing. Standard and Poors advises that during the year following September 11 , most states and many cities experienced financial difficulties, especially those whose economies are largely dependent on tourism revenues. Further, they acknowledged that the City of Miami Beach successfully navigated those challenging economic times because of prudent fiscal policy and management, diversification of the economic base and continued growth. Particular mention is made of the City's contingency fund for emergencies along with the strength of reserves in City's enterprise funds. It was also noted that the City's "local economic base remains centered in tourism, but continues to diversify with a growing health care and entertainment industry presence". The City continues to host high profile events, such as MTV's inaugural Latin America Video Music Awards, and the Art Basel Art Fair "which should continue to positively impact hotel occupancy rates and prices, resort tax revenues and overall tourism trends." Additionally, the report reflects the City's strong financial performance and position, ongoing economic growth and diversification of its tax base. Copies of the rating reports have been attached for your review. These reports were issued in conjunction with the City's sale of the remaining authorization of $62,465,000 General Obligation Bonds which were approved by referendum in November 1999. These Bonds will be sold and closed later this month. JMG/PDW Walker, Patricia From: Sent: To: Subject: Moody's Investors Service [epi@moodys.com] Monday, June 30,200312:48 PM Walker, Patricia Miami Beach (City of) FL MOODY'S ASSIGNS Al RATING TO MIAMI BEACH (FL) SALE OF $62.5 MILLION GENERAL OBLIGATION BONDS, SERIES 2003; OUTLOOK POSITIVE Al AFFIRMATION AFFECTS $106.3 MILLION GENERAL OBLIGATION BONDS, INCLUDING THIS ISSUE Miami Beach (City of) FL Municipality Florida Moody's Rating Issue Rating General Obligation Bonds, Series 2003 Sale Amount $62,465,000 Expected Sale Date 07/11/03 Rating Description General Obligation Al NEW YORK, June 30, 2003 -- Moody's Investors Service has assigned an Al rating to Miami Beach's sale of $62.5 million General Obligation Bonds, Series 2003. We have also affirmed the Al rating on $106.3 million general obligation bonds, including this offering. At this time we have also revised the outlook on the city's general obligation bonds to positive from stable. The bonds are secured by the city's unlimited general obligation pledge. The Al rating and positive outlook are based on the city's solid tourism/entertainment based economy, well-managed financial operations and manageable debt load. The unique nature of this resort community with it's high-end condominium and hotel development and it's national and international identity has been beneficial as regards private investment in the community. The rating and outlook also recognize that while the softening of the tourism market as well as rapid budgetary growth are issues facing the city, long-term credit fundamentals remain positive. Bond proceeds will be used for renovation and improvement of fire stations, recreational facilities and other city infrastructure projects. This relatively large issue exhausts a total $92.5 million 1999 voter-approved authorization for fire safety, parks and beaches, and neighborhood improvements. The bonds are expected to be insured by an insurer rated in Moody's highest category. Subject to review of appropriate documentation, the bonds are expected to carry the insurer's Aaa financial strength rating. CONTINUED STRONG GROWTH IN TAX BASE REFLECTS HOTEL, RESIDENTIAL AND COMMERCIAL CONSTRUCTION Moody's believes current construction and redevelopment in the city will sustain strong tax base growth for at least the next three years. Construction of several high-end condominium units, private investment in hotel renovation and construction, and commercial expansion continue to contribute to solid tax base growth after a period of decline in the mid-to-late 1980's. The tax base has more than doubled between fiscal 1997 and 2004 to $12.2 billion, and estimated market value is in excess of $14.5 billion. Annual average tax base growth has been 12.2% in the past five years, with more recent increases of 15.5% (est.) in 2003 and 14.5% in 2002. Expectations are for continued tax base growth at somewhat lower rates. Over $517 million in hotel projects, $845 million in apartment/ condominium projects (2,815 units), and new retail stores and restaurants will continue to contribute to tax base expansion. Commercial expansion has developed more rapidly since 2000, not only in areas like Lincoln Road and Normandy Drive, but in more traditional commercial areas such as Collins Avenue. Retail occupancy rates are in the high 90 percentile suggesting the potential need for additional retail expansion. Higher Class A 1 office vacancy rates of about 24% reflects some uncompleted projects but also some overbuilding in this sector. The city's economy is focused on tourism and maintains an established national and international identity that contributes to high quality tax base de velopment. The number of tourists had been steadily increasing through 2000, particularly international visitors, but has fallen off in 2001 with some recoupment seen in 2002. International tourism has been depressed more recently but domestic visitors, who have a shorter length of stay, has been steady. Visitors staying in Miami Beach reportedly account for 42% of the 10.5 million visitors to the Metro-Dade area in 2001. The 2% resort tax has increased 37.8% in the last five years including an 11.7% drop in fiscal 2002 to $17.5 million. Thus far for seven months of fiscal 2003, the resort tax is up 11% over the prior year. Hotel occupancy rates (60.5%) and average room rates ($133.14) were down in 2001 and 2002, but partial information for the last seven months through April 2003 indicates a rebound in both areas reportedly due to a few major events that have taken place in the city. Sustainability of this trend will be closely monitored. After real estate, the largest employment sector is retail trade and services with nearly 17,000 jobs and an economic impact of $839 million; followed by food/beverage and hotel which employ 16,550 and 12,044 people and have an economic impact of $546 million and $428 million respectively. Other sectors such as a growing entertainment industry (film, music, and television), as well as photography, cultural development (symphony, ballet, museums, art center) and a health care sector have added some needed depth to the economy. The entertainment industry accounts for approximately 1,900 jobs with an estimated economic impact of about $193 million. Business travel is also an important segment of the economy with convention activity posting over 900,000 delegates, 2.6 million room nights, and nearly one billion dollars in expenditures in 2002. City resident per capita income is about 130% of the state average, while median family income is only 73% and housing values are over three times the state average. Unemployment is above average at 9% for February 2003 partly a result of the labor force growing at a faster pace than jobs and also reflecting a weakened hotel industry. WELL-MANANGED FINANCIAL OPERATIONS; OPERATING TAX RATES REMAIN STABLE AFTER PERIOD OF DECLINE Moody's expects the city's financial operations to remain solid given growth in revenues and maintenance of adequate reserve levels, although budgetary growth has been rapid. Operating General Fund surpluses in the last seven consecutive years are the result of conservative budgeting and property tax growth, despite a drop in tax rates from near the maximum limit of 10 mills to 7.299 mills currently. Construction and renovation activity as well as reappraisal has doubled taxable value from $6.0 billion in 1997 to an estimated $12.2 billion in fiscal 2004. The city also benefits from the fact that only 30% of the residential property in the city is subject to homestead exemption which has kept values in most Florida municipalities artificially lower since growth in capped to the lesser of CPI index or 3%. The fiscal 2002 $27.9 million General Fund balance represents 21.2% of total General Fund revenues, and the unrestricted reserve combined with a restricted emergency reserve, established by city ordinance, totals a favorable 19.1%. The contingency reserve, established at 11% of the operating budget, provides a good financial cushion for the city. In addition, at the end of fiscal 2002, the city had a Parking Fund undesignated balance of $37.5 million, a portion of which could reportedly be used for any city purpose. Fiscal 2003 operations are expected to increase fund balance slightly and maintain contingency levels ($17.4 million). The city's operating budget has increased about 40% since 1998 (excluding Redevelopment Agency pass-throughs and certain capital items) due especially to growth in fixed costs and public safety. Most of the budgetary growth has been accommodated with the rapid increase in property taxes from tax base growth that is expected to moderate over time. Officials have begun to focus on controlling budgetary growth which Moody's believes is a prudent step in maintaining financial stability. Fiscal 2004 operations are expected to be tighter as officials deal with increasing pension contributions, higher health care costs and a self-insurance fund deficit due to new accounting standard requirements. The city has sizable enterprise debt outstanding especially for parking, water and sewer and stormwater. Rate increases have been projected for the next six years for water and sewer operations, and stormwater fees will increase from $3.25 in 2001 to $5.80 in 2006 to support that operation. Revenue coverage is good. 2 ABOVE AVERAGE DEBT LEVEL; RAPID PAYOUT OF GENERAL OBLIGATION DEBT. The above average city debt burden of 4.3% of full value reflects not only the city's obligations but also its share of the substantial amount of county and school district debt. Debt service costs are above average at 15.6% of operating expenditures, in part reflecting the rapid payout of general obliqation bonds (prior to this issue), but also reflecting the city's significant amount of special tax bonds. A large $46.8 million of special tax bonds for pension funding are currently outstanding. The city also has approximately $100.8 million in tax increment bonds outstanding secured by tax increment revenue and a subordinate pledge on the resort tax. In November 1999, voters approved a $92 million in General Obligation bonds for parks and other purposes. With this issue, officials have exhausted this authorization. The current offering more than doubles outstanding general obligation bonds and significantly slows G.O. payout to maintain the current debt service levy. About 51.6% of the current offering principal is repaid in the last 12 years of a 30-year schedule, when all other general obligation debt retires. Officials have a five-year (2003-2007) $290 million capital program with major projects including right of way infrastructure ($57.9 million), parks and facilities ($24.8 million), and fire safety ($9.7 million). Besides the current general obligation bond offering, the majority of the plan will be funded with enterprise-related funding sources. KEY STATISTICS 2001 population estimate: 88,158 FY 2004 Full valuation: $14.5 billion. FY 2004 Full value per capita: $164,005 Debt Burden: 4.3% Payout of G.O. principal, 10 years: 39.0% 20 years: 72.2% 30 years: 100.0% Post Sale General Obligation Bonds Outstanding: $106.3 million FY 2002 General Fund balance (as % General Fund Revenues): 20.6% Total 19.1% Undesignated & Reserved for contingency Operating Tax Rate as % Statutory Limit, FY 2003: 73.0% Per Capita Income as % State: 129.2% Median Family Income as % State: 73.3% Median Housing Value as % State: 317.0% Unemployment Rate (2/2003): 9.0% ANALYSTS: John Incorvaia, Analyst, Public Finance Group, Moody's Investors Service Bill Leech, Backup Analyst, Public Finance Group, Moody's Investors Service 3 CONTACTS: Journalists: (212) 553-0376 Research Clients: (212) 553-1653 Copyright 2003, Moody's Investors Service, Inc. and/or its licensors including Moody's Assurance Company, Inc. (together, "MOODY'S"). All rights reserved. ALL INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN IS PROTECTED BY COPYRIGHT LAW AND NONE OF SUCH INFORMATION MAY BE COPIED OR OTHERWISE REPRODUCED, REPACKAGED, FURTHER TRANSMITTED, TRANSFERRED, DISSEMINATED, REDISTRIBUTED OR RESOLD, OR STORED FOR SUBSEQUENT USE FOR ANY SUCH PURPOSE, IN WHOLE OR IN PART, IN ANY FORM OR MANNER OR BY ANY MEANS WHATSOEVER, BY ANY PERSON WITHOUT MOODY'S PRIOR WRITTEN CONSENT. All information contained herein is obtained by MOODY'S from sources believed by it to be accurate and reliable. Because of the possibility of human or mechanical error as well as other factors, however, such information is provided "as is" without warranty of any kind and MOODY'S, in particular, makes no representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy, timeliness, completeness, merchantability or fitness for any particular purpose of any such information. Under no circumstances shall MOODY'S have any liability to any person or entity for (a) any loss or damage in whole or in part caused by, resulting from, or relating to, any error (negligent or otherwise) or other circumstance or contingency within or outside the control of MOODY'S or any of its directors, officers, employees or agents in connection with the procurement, collection, compilation, analysis, interpretation, communication, publication or delivery of any such information, or (b) any direct, indirect, special, consequential, compensatory or incidental damages whatsoever (including without limitation, lost profits), even if MOODY'S is advised in advance of the possibility of such damages, resulting from the use of or inability to use, any such information. The credit ratings, if any, constituting part of the information contained herein are, and must be construed solely as, statements of opinion and not statements of fact or recommendations to purchase, sell or hold any securities. NO WARRANTY, EXPRESS OR IMPLIED, AS TO THE ACCURACY, TIMELINESS, COMPLETENESS, MERCHANTABILITY OR FITNESS FOR ANY PARTICULAR PURPOSE OF ANY SUCH RATING OR OTHER OPINION OR INFORMATION IS GIVEN OR MADE BY MOODY'S IN ANY FORM OR MANNER WHATSOEVER. Each rating or other opinion must be weighed solely as one factor in any investment decision made by or on behalf of any user of the information contained herein, and each such user must accordingly make its own study and evaluation of each security and of each issuer and guarantor of, and each provider of credit support for, each security that it may consider purchasing, holding or selling. Pursuant to Section l7(b) of the Securities Act of 1933, MOODY'S hereby discloses that most issuers of debt securities (including corporate and municipal bonds, debentures, notes and commercial paper) and preferred stock rated by MOODY'S have, prior to assignment of any rating, agreed to pay to MOODY'S for appraisal and rating services rendered by it fees ranging from $1,500 to $1,500,000. 4 [02-Jul-2003] Miami Beach, Florida; Tax Secured, General Obligation Page 1 of3 STANDARD &POOtrS I RATINC3SDIRECT Research: Miami Beach, Florida; Tax Secured, General Obligation Publication date: 02-Jul-2003 Credit Analyst: Baltazar Juarez, New York (1) 212-438-7999; Robin Prunty, New York (1) 212-438-2081 Return to Regular Format Credit Profile $62.465 mil GO bnds ser 2003 due 09/01/2033 Sale date: 10-JUL-2003 AA- UPGRADED To From $11.900 mil. Miami Beach GO bnds (Pk Imp projs) ser 1996 dtd 10/01/1997 due 09/01/1998-2007 AAAlAA-(SPUR) A+ OUTLOOK: STABLE . Rationale The upgrade to 'AA-' from 'A+' on the City of Miami Beach, Fla.'s GO bonds is based on sustained strong financial performance bolstered by established fiscal policies and strong reserve levels, along with ongoing growth and diversification in the tax base. Other rating factors include: . The city's role as a local, regional, and international year-round tourism destination, along with the city's location and participation in the greater Miami metropolitan area; . A large tax base that exhibits no taxpayer concentration and has experienced strong growth over the past decade; . Strong financial performance and position; and . Wealth levels near state and national averages, as measured on a per capita effective buying income basis. These factors are partly offset by: . A historically high unemployment rate; and . An economic base that continues to diversify (particularly in the areas of health care and the entertainment industry), but which still remains highly dependant on the tourism industry and, as such, remains more susceptible to economic fluctuations. The bonds are secured by the city's full faith and credit GO pledge. Series 2003 bond proceeds will be used to fund renovations and expansions to the city's fire stations and to acquire and equip fire trucks. Proceeds will also be used to fund parks, beaches, and neighborhood infrastructure capital projects. Miami Beach consists of a seven-mile-long barrier island and a number of smaller natural and man- made islands in southern Florida, across the Biscayne Bay from Miami. The city encompasses 7.1 square miles. Its year-round population is 87,933; however, the city receives about 7.5 million visitors annually. The city's local economic base remains centered in tourism, but continues to diversify with a growing health care and entertainment industry presence. Within the city, the leading employer is Mount Sinai Medical Center and Miami Heart Institute, with 3,400 employees, followed by the city itself, with 1,650 employees. The city's unemployment rate--which has historically been above the state and national averages--was at 8.24% as of March 2003. Wealth levels, measured on a per capita effective buying income basis, are slightly above average. Financial performance and position are strong, bolstered by strong reserves and established financial policies. The city's general fund has posted consecutive surpluses over the past four fiscal years, along with healthy reserve levels. For fiscal 2002, the city's general fund posted a small surplus of $996,000. file:1 Ie :\Documents%20and%20Settings\finawalp\Local%20Settings\ T emporary%20Intemet%20Files\... 07/03/2003 [Q2-Jul-Z003] Miami Beach, Florida; Tax Secured, General Obligation The ending unreserved general fund balance totaled $26.9 million, or a strong 20.1 % of general fund expenditures. The city's financial position is further bolstered by additional reserves maintained in the parking system fund. For fiscal 2002, the unreserved fund balance reported in this fund was $37.4 million. Of this amount, management reports that $25.2 million is available for general fund purposes, which is equivalent to 18.8% of expenditures. Combining these two reserve balances, the city had $50.1 million, or a very strong 38.9% of expenditures. For the fiscal year ending Sept. 30, 2003, management projects a modest general and reserves in line with fiscal 2002. Page 2 of3 The city's debt burden is moderate. Overall net debt per capita is $4,634 and 3.9% of market value. Amortization on the series 2003 issue is slower than average, with only 22% of principal retired within 10 years, 55% in 20 years, and 100% by 2033. Debt service carrying charges, for the total governmental funds, are moderate at 13.5% of expenditures. The updated 2003-2007 capital improvement plan totals $289.3 million. The bulk of the plan ($207 million) is for public works projects. . Outlook The stable outlook reflects the expectation of continued strong financial performance and position, along with ongoing economic growth and diversification. The outlook also reflects the expectation that the debt burden will remain manageable going forward. . Economy Miami Beach consists of a seven-mile-Iong barrier island and a number of smaller natural and man- made islands in southern Florida, across the Biscayne Bay from Miami. The city encompasses 7.1 square miles. Its year-round population is 87,933; however, the city receives about 7.5 million visitors annually--drawing local, regional, and international visitors. The city's local economic base remains centered in tourism, but continues to diversify with a growing health care and entertainment industry presence. In the tourism/hospitality sector, leading employers include the Fontainebleau Hilton Resort (1,200 employees) and Loews Miami Beach Hotel (800). In the health care sector, leading employers include Mount Sinai Medical Center and Miami Heart Institute (3,400 employees) and South Shore Hospital (850). In the entertainment industry, Sony Music International and MTV Latin America are the leading employers. Employment figures for entertainment industry-related employers range from 103-225; however, their economic impact is significant. In 2002, for example, MTV held its inaugural Latin America Video Music Awards in Miami Beach. The Art Basil Art Fair, another significant event, was held in 2002, drawing about 15,000. Various other award shows, conferences, and conventions have been held, including the Winter Music Conference, PromaxlBDA International and MODA in Miami, the Source Awards, and Telemundo Latin Billboard Awards. These and other high profile events that the city has hosted (which attract significant number of visitors) should continue to positively affect hotel occupancy rates and prices, resort tax revenues, and overall tourism trends. The city's unemployment rate has historically been well above the state and national averages. The 36- month average, ending March 2003, was 7.95%, compared with 4.75% for the state and 6.10% for the nation. Furthermore, as of March 2003, the labor force totaled 47,100, down slightly from 47,500 the previous year. Employment, which remained unchanged over the previous year's figure, totaled 43,200- -resulting in an unemployment rate of 8.24%. The city's wealth and income levels are near state and national averages. Per capita effective buying income ($18,859) is 103% of the state and 102% of the national levels. Measured on a median household effective buying income basis, however, wealth levels are well below average at 54% of the state and 48% of the national levels. The city's tax base is large, exhibits no taxpayer concentration, and has increased at a strong rate over the past decade. As of fiscal 2002, assessed value (AV) totaled $10.56 billion, or a high $102,092 per capita market value. Management's preliminary projection for fiscal 2003 AV is estimated at $12.2 billion. Growth in AV has been strong, increasing an average of 9.9% annually since 1998. Growth in the tax base has been fueled by significant, ongoing residential and commercial construction. In fiscal 2002, the value of building permits decreased slightly, but remained strong; overall construction remains brisk. Major residential and commercial projects are under way, with many others recently completed or planned. On the residential side, some of the larger projects include: file:/ /e: \Documents%20and%20Settings\finawalp\Local%20Settings\ T emporary%20Intemet%20Files\... 07/03/2003 [02~Jul-2003] Miami Beach, Florida; Tax Secured, General Obligation Page 3 of3 . The Continuum (phase 2). estimated at a cost of $154 million. 440 units. with a completion date of late 2005; . The Akoya. estimated at $130 million. 461 units. with an estimated completion date of 2003; . The Bath Club, estimated at $125 million. 256 units, with an estimated completion date of January 2003; . The Muran Grande (Phase 1). estimated at $95 million. 263 units, with an estimated completion date of summer 2003. On the commercial side. several hotel projects are under way. including: . Setai AmanResorts. estimated at $125 million, with 90 rooms; and . Ritz Carlton. estimated at $100 million, with 380 rooms. There is no concentration in the tax base. with the 10 leading taxpayers accounting for 5% of AV. Tax collections are also strong, with the current-year collection rate at about 100%. . Finances Financial performance and position is strong. Fiscal 2002 general fund revenues totaled $125.6 million while expenditures totaled $133.8 million. Annually, the city transfers funds into the general fund from its resort tax fund to cover tourism-related expenses. After transfers in and out. the general posted a small surplus of $996,776. and reserves (unreserved general fund balance and parking system fund) remained strong at $50.1 million, or 38.9% of general fund expenditures. Additionally. since at least 1999, the city's three pension funds have been over-funded and management has not needed to make contributions. In fiscal 2003, however, management will be making pension contributions to keep them fully funded. For the fiscal year ending Sept. 30. 2003, management projects a modest surplus ranging from $300,000-$400.000. The ending unreserved general fund balance is projected to remain in line with fiscal 2002 ending results. The parking system fund reserves are also projected to remain in line with fiscal 2002 results. Copyright @ 1994-2003 Standard & Poo(s. a division of The McGraw-Hili Companies. All Rights Reserved. Privacy Policy The McGrow'HiIl (jJmpanles file:1 Ie: \Documents%20and%20Settings\finawalp\Local%20Settings\ T emporary%20Intemet%20Files\... 07/03/2003