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144-1999 LTC CITY OF MIAMI BEACH CITY HALL 1700 CONVENTION CENTER DRIVE MIAMI BEACH, FLORIDA 33139 http:\\ci.miami-beach.f).us 144-1999 L.T.C. No. LETTER TO COMMISSION June 29, 1999 TO: Mayor Neisen O. Kasdin and Members of the City C mmission FROM: Sergio Rodriguez City Manager SUBJECT: HOSPITALITY INDUSTRY NEWSLETTER Attached is a self-explanatory letter from Thorn Connors, SMG Senior Vice President, to Mayra Diaz Buttacavoli, Assistant City Manager, along with a copy of an article from The HVS/BDO Hospitality Newsletter, regarding Miami Beach. If you require further information, please don't hesitate to either contact me or Mayra Diaz Buttacavoli. SR:MDB:lcd Attachments c: Mayra Diaz Buttacavoli Janet Gavarrete Christina M. Cuervo Matthew Schwartz Ronnie Singer Richard Bender Michael Aller Doug Tober F:\CMGR\$ALL\L TC.99\HOSPIT.NEW LTC!- Private Management for PUblic Facilities Thomas L. Connors Senior Vice President Convention Centers June 21,1999 Ms. Mayra Diaz-Buttacavoli Assistant City Manager City of Miami Beach City Hall 1700 Convention Center Drive Miami Beach, FL 33139 Dear Mayra, Thought you might be interested in the attached article from hospitality industry newsletter I subscribe to. Saw Mayor Kasdin in New Orleans at the U.S. Conference of Mayors. SMG hosted a banquet for 2,000 on the floor of Superdome Saturday night and invited all of our attending client city mayors to private dinner at Arnaud's on Sunday. Neisen came with his wife and we had a lovely evening. Also, sent him a copy of the same article. Hope all is well and I look forward to hearing from you. All the best, /) /f~ ~. ~ Thorn Connors Cc: Doug Tober Attachment TLC/rs Stadiums Arenas Convention Centers Theaters 701 Market Street 4th Floor h Philadelphia, PA 19106 Voice: 215.592.6601 Fax: 215.592.6698 - c.\J]T;\f o ::J ' I i' "HYSJBDO) /1 \:. [LlANe The HVS/BDO HOSPITALITY Newsletter JlIllt' 1999 To savt' and edllcate the hospitality industry. www.bdo.com www.hvsintemational.com Jail L. Nichols alld Jesper Arnoldssorz, HVS IrztcrlwtiOlwl What's Driving Miami Beach's Resurgence - Supply or Demand? It's like the age old question, "What came first, the chicken or the egg)" Are there really hundreds of thou- sands of people waiting to pay hundreds of dollars per night to bed down in a newly trendy Miami Beach? Or are devel- opers anxious to build, driving up land prices so high that only high-end hotels can be economically justified? Is there sufficient unaccommodated and newly ind uced demand to fill all the new high-end product7 In the last two decades, since the decision was made to preserve its Art Deco build- ings, Miami Beach has been transformed from an area characterized by old-age pensioners and crime to one of the "hottest" cities in the world. Making up the bottom third of the island of Miami Beach, South Beach has become a magnet for music and entertainment industry celebrities, the fashion industry, and leisure visitors from the world over who are drawn to the area's cosmopolitan atmosphere, chic restaurants, hip night- clubs, trendy boutique hotels, and world renowned beaches. South Beach contains the landmark historical Art Deco District, the first 20th century neighborhood to be recognized by the National Register of Historic Places. The district contains about 800 structures of historic significance from the 1920s to the 1940s, the largest collection of Art Deco and Streamline Moderne architecture in the world. At present, Miami Beach is witnessing an unprecedented pace of new hotel develop- ment, along with a large number of properties undergoing renovations and upgrades (see Table 2 on page 4). Since the Raleigh Hotel opened and Ia~ Schrager and Philippe Starck introduced the Delano Hotel to Miami Beach in 1995, the city has seen an upsurge in boutique hotel devel- opment. The most well-known hotels, including Delano, Tides, and The Hotel . (formerly the Tiffany, but a lawsuit . brought by the venerable jeweler prohibits the use of its historic name), have a famous designer associated with their properties, which enhances their appeaL So far, the hotels that have commanded the greatest amount of attention have been highly cre- ative and whimsical in design, while oth- ers have kept a traditional Art Deco feeL It is interesting to note that only in South Miami Beach will you find all three famous hoteliers who are credited with starting the boutique hotel craze - Schrager, Phil Pilevsky, and the Rub ell family. Why aren't these hoteliers building mid- rate hotels? Isn't there greater demand for accommodations at $150 per night rather - continued on page 4 Dayalla R. Mu:illck, Thais C. Rodrigue:, and David f. Sclzwart:, BOO Scidlllllll, LLP Assisted Living Facilities: Where Healthcare Meets Real Estate and Hospitality Development T oday's elderly population enjoys more choice in long-term care options than ever. The Seniors Housing ind ustry has been transformed by the explosive growth of Assisted Living Facilities (ALFs) and the revital- ization of Congregate Communities and Continuing Care Retirement CommLmities (CCRCs). As baby boomers begin to show their age, the concepts are booming. Defining the Seniors The Conversion Craze Housing Industry Understanding the The Survival ofthe Full-Service Hotel Seniors Housing in- dustry requires an appreciation of the diversity of this segment of the real estate market. Seniors Housing comes in a wide variety of shapes and sizes, ranging from a 300-unit, high-rise building in an urban center to 50-unit Victorian style, low-rise residences tucked quietly in Also In this Issue: - continued on page 2 HVS lnternational/BDO Seidman June 1999 1. What's Driving Miami Beach's Resurgence - Supply or Demand? - continuedfrom page 7 than $300 per night, which, on an annual basis, is the average rate many of these high-end boutique hotels are targeting? The price of land holds the key to the answer to that question. Limited avail- ability of desirable beachfront sites has pushed land prices to record levels, and is driving room rates sky high. A parcel was sold in early 1997 for a proposed Marriott, at a per-room land cost of 533,913. By September 1997, the per-unit cost had risen to $70,988, paid for the shell of the historic Shore Club; by December 1998, a proposed condo hotel to be located near the new Marriott had a record land price of 585,106 per unit. (This reflects a land price increase of 150% in 20 months I) To top it off, the site and shell of the historic Victor reportedly has an asking price of nearly 5132,000 per room. You certainly can't build anything but a high-end luxury hotel at these land costs. Miami Beach is now targeted by the national and international hotel chains as a prime location, very often at the luxury end of the spectrum. The newly opened Loews Miami Beach Hotel has led the way in this new phase of development with others following suit, including Bass Hotels & Resorts with the Royal Palm Crown Plaza, Ritz-Carlton, Marriott, Regent, and Radisson. This new quality lodging supply coming onto the market in a relati\'ely few years represents a signifi- cant threat of oversupply. Howe\'€r, there seems to be no letting up in the de\'elop- ment of lodging supply, partly due to the belief that the development of com'en- tion-size quality hotels will enable the Miami Beach Convention Center to accommodate conventions of a larger size than it currently attracts. But will more conventioneers come if there are more hotel rooms? The Miami Beach Convention Center underwent a $93 million expansion in 1992, and features approximately 1.1 mil- lion square feet of meeting and exhibit space in total, including an exhibit hall of over 500,000 square feet. The facility's ability to attract new ,and larger groups has been hampered in ~he past by a lack of adequate hotel rooms near the Center. For 30 years, the 1,200-room Fontainbleau Hilton has offered the size and amenities commensurate with a convention hotel, but it is not located in the vicinitv of the Com'ention Center. Indeed, data pro\'ided by the Miami Beach CVB indicates that room nights generated by the convention center have remained between 2.5 million and 3.0 million per year since 1994, due to the lack of hotel rooms in the vicinit\. of the center to accommodate larger groups. - continued on next page Table 2: New Hotel Development Property Radisson Deauville Resort La Flora The Hotel (Tiffany) Loews Hotel Sherry Frontenac The Beach House (formerly "The Palms") Hampton Inn (formerly "The Surfcomber") Clevelander Crowne Plaza Sonesta Sasson Resort The Nash Marriott Hotel The Shore Club The Winterhaven The, Carlyle The Ritz Plaza Ritz-Carlton The Victor Regent Resort 4 June 1999 Estimated Units Address Opening Date 444 6701 Collins Avenue Oct. 1998 28 1238 Collins Avenue Nov. 1998 53 801 Collins Avenue Nov. 1998 800 1601 Collins Avenue Dec. 1998 276 6565 Collins Avenue Dec. 1998 170 9449 Collins Avenue Jan. 1999 194 1717 Collins Avenue Feb. 1999 64 1020 Ocean Drive Sept. 1999 412 1535 Collins Avenue Oct. 1999 150 2001 Collins Avenue Oct. 1999 56 1120 Collins Avenue Oct. 1998 230 155 Ocean Drive Jan. 2000 324 1901 Collins Avenue Jan. 2000 60 1400 Ocean Drive Jan. 2000 50 1250 Ocean Drive Sept. 2000 210 1701 Collins Avenue Oct. 2000 382 1669 Collins Avenue Jan. 2001 114 1150 Ocean Drive Jan. 2001 318 2901 Collins Avenue July 2001 4,335 . HVS Interniltional/BDO Seidman - W1Lat's Driving Miami Beach's Resurgence - Supply or Demand? -COl1til1uedfrompage4 We spoke with a representative for Loews Hotels, who indicated that the new 800- room Loews ~vliami Beach is fully booked to capacity for groups in 1999, with this segment expected to represent approxi- mately 75"1" of total accommodated demand. The Loews is expected to have no problem achieving an occupancy level of at least 70o~, in its first year, given its strong pre-bookings. Further, its 1999 ADR is running ahead of pro forma, at nearlv 5200, based on advance bookings. This bodes well for the future of Miami Beach's lodging market overall, and proves that the Loews is not merely cap- turing existing demand, but is inducing new group demand that could not previ- ously be accommodated. The Beach has registered steadily increas- ing resort tax collections, estimated at $14.3 million in 1997, and reflecting a compound average annual increase of 13.7% per year since 1990. Entertainment Industry Besides convention demand, who will fill all these new hotel rooms? Commercial demand is growing rapidly in South Beach, and it is mostly due to the film and entertainment industry. ---- "'- -..../ ""'y'" -./../"J'-/, . ...) \' " . "" ~ ......"'- "'. \ " \ .-..,/ ........" --.././ .././' . .~.. I.....................' / v\~\;i~"'-"::. !~ ~~\ .,.x:: ;{'j.' .<.. '. " ............... '-- -- Miami Beach is being reinvented as Hispanic Hollywood, or the Us. capital of Latin entertainment. All six of the major multinational recording labels have their Latin America headquarters on the Beach or across the causeway. MTV Latin America is based here, as are a host of other Latin cable networks. This synergv has placed Miami third in the U.s. in total entertainment industry revenues (52.3 bil- lion), behind Los Angeles (525.5 billion) and New York (52.4 billion). OveralL the entertainment industry employs approxi- mately 9,500 people, making it Miami- Dade's third-largest private employer, and the Latin segment is estimated to make up 50% to 60% of the total Miami- Dade entertainment industry. Emilio and Gloria Estefan host a weekly Industry Night at their Cardozo HoteL considered the South Beach clubhouse of Miami's music and video world. Growth in the entertainment industry is expected to con- tinue at a strong pace, generating increas- ing demand for upscale accof\lmodations. Visitor Industry Leisure demand is the historic mainstav of Miami Beach, and is growing. According to a survey by the Greater N1iami Convention & Visitors Bureau, South Beach attracted 6.9 million visitors in 1997, ranking it the second-most popular tourist destina- tion in Florida after Walt Disney World. South Beach attracted 5.3 million visitors in 1996, reflecting an astounding 30% increase in 1997, with strong growth also anticipated for 1998. Visitor statistics indicate that the average length of stay is 4.3 nights, and the medi- an income of the typical visitor is high, at $86,100. Most visitors were domestic (52%), with South American visitors com- prising 15%, and European visitors com- prising 12% of total visitors. Supply may be generating demand to a certain extent, as people know and come to Miami for its "hot" reputation, nightlife, and atmosphere. Indeed, today, the signature boutique hotels of Nliami Beach are an integral part of the destina- tion's unique image and contribute to its popularity. The new Loews is presently inducing new convention and group demand to the area, which is expected to increase the awareness ~nd popularity of Miami Beach and, in turn, stimulate fur- ther increases in demimd. On the other hand, one can make a case for demand generating supply. The bou- tique hotels were developed initiallv to cater to the production crews of the fash- ion industry, and as the area has further developed as a tourist destination, more boutique properties are being constructed as a reaction to its popularity. The large chain hotels now entering the market aim to accommodate the anticipated demand from the increased usage of the Miami Beach Convention Center. The real test of market equilibrium in sup- ply and demand is in occupancy levels. In order for demand to truly drive supply, the local hotel market must register a rela- tively high occupancy level, indicating that demand exceeds supply. However, this is not the case in Miami Beach, as the overall occupancy rate pregently stands at approximately 70%, according to Smith Travel Research. Rather, an optimism in the general market has created an envi- ronment where hotels are being built in anticipation of continued increased demand. This exposes the market to a risk of oversupply if the anticipated demand growth should fail to keep up with the levels of supply. The answer to Miami Beach's supply versus demand dilemma lies in the occupancy levels to be achieved over the next several years, and for that, we'll just have to wait and see. - HVS HVS Intemational/BDO Seidman J,. June 1999 5