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LTC 297-2023 Arts & Culture G.O. Bond Credit RatingsMIAM I BEACH OFFICE OF THE CITY MANAGER L TC# LETTER TO COMMISSION TO : Mayor Dan Gelber and Members of the City Commission FROM, Alina T. Hudak, City Manag~ DATE: June 29, 2023 SUBJECT: A rt s & C u ltu re G .O . B o nd C re d it R atings The purpose of this L TC is to advise you of the credit ratings assigned by Standard & Poors (S&P) and Moody's to the City's 2023 Arts & Culture General Obligation (ACGO) bonds and outstanding prior G.O. bonds. I would like to underscore that both S&P and Moody's have incorporated risks from climate change, severe weather events, and cyber security into their credit rating analysis. I am pleased that we have been able to maintain our strong credit ratings through our proactive efforts to reduce risk by investing in our aging infrastructure and adapting to climate change by strategically implementing the best available science and knowledge. We must continue to act along these lines as climate resilience will continue to be a consideration for future ratings. It is essential that the City protect its tax base and financial standing by continuing to adapt and remain committed to both our financial and our resilience policies, programs, and operations. Both credit rating reports are attached for your review and highlights are provided below. S ta n d a rd a n d P o o rs S&P Global Ratings has assigned its "AA+" long-term rating to the City's 2023 ACGO bonds and affirmed its "AA +" long-term rating on the City's G.O. bonds outstanding. The "AA+" rating reflects the following: • Very strong economy • Strong budgetary performance • Very strong management • Very strong liquidity • Very strong budgetary flexibility Please note that in the attached report, S&P mentions that "Management maintains detailed forward- looking policies and practices, and continues to make significant capital investments, particularly in the areas of infrastructure resiliency and insulating the city from potential risks due to its barrier island location on the Atlantic Ocean." The stable outlook reflects our view of Miami Beach's very strong economic base and adherence to its formal financial policies, which we believe is likely to lead to continued balanced operating results and maintenance of very strong reserves and cash balances. S&P's rating could be raised if the city's debt and liability position improves, and if the city continues to build and maintain a higher reserve position. S&P could lower the rating if the city experiences budgetary pressure, leading to weakened reserve and liquidity positions, or if exogenous risks materialize, leading to significantly weakened economy and financial positions. 297-2023 L e tt e r to C o m m is s io n G .O . B o n d C r e d it R a ti n g s J u n e 2 9 , 2 0 2 3 P a g e 2 o f 3 M o o d y 's Moody's has assigned its "Aa2" long-term rating to the City's 2023 ACGO bonds and affirmed its "Aa2 long-term rating on the City's G.O. bonds outstanding. The "Aa2" rating reflects the following: • Strong financial position • Very strong governance • Expanding economic base • Strong and growing full value per capita • Very strong finances • Strong tourism reliant economy • Conservative budgeting and formal policies Please note that in the attached report, Moody's mentions that the City "has invested substantially in raising sidewalks and streets and stormwater and water and sewer infrastructure. City management participates in the 100 Resilient Cities network and is a Steering Committee member of the South Florida Climate Compact. Management includes sea level rise assumptions in all capital planning and will continue to invest in climate change mitigation." Also, Moody's notes that "the city's demonstrated policy credibility and effectiveness and prudent budget management" is incorporated into the issuer profile score. The stable outlook reflects Moody's view of the City's ongoing trend of positive financial performance driven by strong management and policies. Moody's rating could be raised if there is a reduction in leverage and fixed costs and if resident income improves. Moody's could lower the rating if there are substantial declines in cash and fund balances and/or significant increases in debt. R a tin g s S um m a ry Bonds Prior Rating New Rating New A&C G.O. Bonds S&P: N/A I Moody's: N/A S&P: AA+ I Moody's: Aa2 Existing G.O. Bonds S&P: AA+ I Moody's: Aa2 S&P: AA+ I Moody's: Aa2 On the next page you will find a bond rating scale with descriptions. If you have any questions or need additional information, please contact Jason D. Greene, Chief Financial Officer. Attachments S&P Ratings Report Moody's Ratings Report JG 516. L e tt e r to C o m m is s io n G .O . B o n d C re d it R a tin g s J u n e 2 9 , 2 0 2 3 P a g e 3 o f 3 Bond R ating Scale S&P Moody's Rating Description AAA Aaa Prime AA+ Aa1 AA Aa2 High grade AA- Aa3 A+ A1 Investment-grade A A2 Upper medium grade A- A3 BBB+ Baa1 BBB Baa2 Lower medium grade BBB- Baa3 BB+ Ba1 Non-investment BB Ba2 grade speculative BB - Ba3 B+ Bl B B2 Highly speculative B- B3 CCC+ Caal Substantial risks Non-investment grade Extremely AKA high-yield bonds CCC Caa2 AKA junk bonds speculative CCC- Caa3 Default imminent cc Ca with little prospect C for recovery C D I In default S&PGlobal Ratings RatingsDirect' Summary: Miami Beach, Florida; General Obligation Primary Credit Analyst: Christian Richards, Washington D.C. + 1 (617) 530 8325; christian.richards@spglobal.com Secondary Contact: Krystal Tena, New York+ 1 (212) 438-1628; krystal.tena@spglobal.com Table Of Contents Credit Highlights Outlook Credit Opinion Related Research WWW.STANDARDANDPOORS COM/RATINGSDIRECT THIS WAS PREPARED EXCLUSIVELY FOR USER MICHAEL MCAARNEY NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION UNLESS OTI IEAWIS[ PERMITTED JUNE 27, 2023 1 Sum m ary: Miami Beach, Florida; General Obligation Credit Profile US$63.85 mil GO bnds (Arts And Cultural Faes) ser 2023B due 05/01/2053 Long Term Rating AA+/Stable New US$35.165 mil GO bnds (Arts And Cultural Faes) ser 2023A dtd 07/27/2023 due 05/01/2053 Long Term Rating Miami Beach GO Long Term Rating AA+/Stable New AA+/Stable Affirmed Credit Highlights • S&P Global Ratings assigned its 'AA +' long-term rating to the City of Miami Beach, Fla.'s approximately $35.1 million 2023A and $63.9 million 2023B general obligation (GO) bonds. • At the same time, S&P Global Ratings affirmed its 'AA +' lon g-term rating on the city's GO bonds outstanding. • The outlook is stable. Security The GO bonds are secured by its full faith and credit, including its ability to levy ad valorem property taxes without limitations as to rate or amount. Th e 2023A and 2023B bonds will support a variety of improvements to art and cultural institutions, including museum s, community centers, a botanical garden, a sculpture garden, and artist/workforce housing initiatives. Credit overview Miami Beach is a year-round touri st destination that benefited from domestic migration trends duri ng the pandemic, leading to continued growth in economic metrics. Management maintains detailed forw ard-looking policies and practices, and continues to make significant capital investments, particularly in the areas of infrastructure resiliency and insulating the city from potential risks due to its barrier island location on the Atlantic Ocean. Retirement liability costs remain elevated, and we expect limited progress in reducing the unfunded liabilities or annual costs, but believe these are well-integrated into the annual budget and are not presently crowding out other operational or capital exp en di tures. The long-term rating reflects our view of the city's: • Growing tax base, with very strong underlying wealth and income metrics and access to the broad and diverse Miami-Fort Lauderdale-West Palm Beach metropolitan statistical area; • Strong financial policies and practices under our Financial Management Assessment methodology, including multiyear capital and operational planning and a strong institutional framework; • Balanced recurring revenue and expenditures, with some performance volatility due to cash-funded capital WWW.STANDARDANDPOORS COM/RA TINGSDIRECT THIS WAS PREPARED EXCLUSIVELY TOR USER MICHAEL MCALARNEY NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION UNLESS OTHERWISE PERMITTED JUNE 27, 2023 2 Summary: Miami Beach, Florida; General Obligation expenditures, but an expected long-term trend of balanced operations and maintenance of very strong reserves; and • Elevated fixed costs, primarily due to retirement liabilities, but with a stable debt profile. Environmental, social, and governance We view Miami Beach's physical risks as moderately negative compared with national peers due to its barrier island location on the Atlantic Ocean, which makes it susceptible to weather-related natural disasters and climate risks that could ultimately affect the retail physical assets and, in turn, the pledged revenues if damaged over a multiyear period. The city is making investments in its physical infrastructure to insulate itself from these risks, with planning integral to its long-term master and capital planning. We view its social and governance risks as credit neutral. Outlook The stable outlook reflects our view of Miami Beach's very strong economic base and adherence to its formal financial policies, which we believe is likely to lead to continued balanced operating results and maintenance of very strong reserves and cash balances. Downside scenario We could take negative rating action if the city experiences budgetary pressure, leading to weakened reserve and liquidity positions, or if exogenous risks materialize, leading to significantly weak ened economy and financial positions. Upside scenario All else equal, we could take positive rating action if the city's debt and liability position improves, and if the city continues to build and maintain a higher reserve position. Credit Opinion Tourism-based economy continues to diversify post-pandemic Miami Beach is located on a barrier island along the Atlantic Ocean, immediately to the east of the city of Miami. It is a globally recogn ized tourist and cultural destination, attracting upward of 10 million visitors annually, which provides sign ificant operating revenue for the city through its resort tax, net of pledges on its resort tax bonds. Consistent with the region, recent population growth--particularly of high-net worth and high-earning individuals--is dri ving growt h in property values and diversifying the employm ent base. We understand preliminary total assessed value (AV) is expected to grow by an additional 10% this year. Continued development across residential and commercial sectors is likely to lead to continued tax base growt h. Additionally, as new residents relocate to the city, we understand there has been an increase in headquarters and satellite office relocation, particularly in areas such as finance and tech. We expect the city's economic profile to remain very strong, with likely continued strengthening of underlying wealth and income metrics. Longstanding, well-embedded policies drive budgetary decision-making The city maintains a robust budgetary process, with revenue assumptions driven by historical trend analysis and forecasting, with expenditure assumptions based on contractual obligations and expected capital plans. A formal WWW.STANDARD ANDPOORS COM/RATINGSDIRECT THIS WAS PREPARED EXCLUSIVELY FOR USER MICH AEL MCAARNEY NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION UNLESS OTHERWI SE PERMITTED JUNE 27, 2023 3 Summary: Miami Beach, Florida; General Obligation financial report detailing year-to-date information and year-end projections are provided to the city commission quarterly. Highlights of its formal policies include: • Multiyear operational and strategic planning, included in the annual budget document; • An annually updated five-year capital plan; • A formal investment and cash management policy that places restrictions on security types, investment credit quality and maturity, the use of alternative investments, and with regular reporting of holdings; • A reserve policy requiring s 1 7% emergency reserve of the ensuing year's budget and a contingency reserve of 8%; and • A debt issuance policy limiting GO debt to 15% of AV. Additionally, the city is working to limit cyber risk through various initiatives, and is taking steps to mitigate physical environmental risk through forward-looking planning and capital investment. Finally, the institutional framework score for Florida municipalities with revenue or expenditures greater than $250,000 is strong. Stable financial operations expected to continue Our analysis of the city's performance is adjusted to include regularly occurring transfers (primarily transfers into the general fun d from the resort tax fun d and transfers out for debt service and pay-as-you-go capital) and to remove expenditures financed from one-time resources such as debt proceeds. The general fund drawdown in fiscal year 2022 was primarily due to a significant increase in transfers out for capital purposes. The city's recurring revenue and expenditures remain balanced, which we expect to continue through the near term. In addition to very strong reserves (which include a portion of committed reserves) and high cash balances, the city's 5. 76 operating millage rate in fiscal 2022 is substantially below the 10-mill cap, which, given the very high AV, provides significant additional flexibility. We understand from management that it expects the city to end fiscal year 2023 with a small surplus operating result. Continued recovery in tourism is likely to result in stable revenue transfers from the Resort Tax Fund to support the operating and capital budgets. The annual budget assumes no staff vacancies; as the city works to improve hiring and retention, particularly in public safety, future budgetary savings from staff vacancies may reduce surplus results. Additionally, management notes it expects rising capital costs may increasingly pressure capital budgets. However, given the city's revenue capacity and demonstrated ability to maintain balanced operations, we expect it will continue producing strong financial performance. Stable debt profile despite elevated overall fixed costs We expect the city to continue issuing debt for a variety of needs, but with expected future GO issuances three to five years away. In the interim, it may issue new-money debt for water and sewer needs, but we expect these to be secured entirely by revenue pledges. Consequently, we expect the city's near-term debt profile to remain relatively stable. Pension and other postemployment benefits (OPEB) costs high, may increase • The combined pension costs are elevated relative to state and national peers, and costs may continue to climb. • The city-administered pension plans use aggressive assumptions, including high discount rates relative to our 6.0% discount rate guideline that we view as likely to mitigate cost volatility, and amortization periods longer than 20 years, which is likely to lead to limited fun ding progress. WWW.STANDARDANDPOORS COM/RATINGSDIRECT THIS WAS PREPARED EXCLUSIVELY FOR USER MICHAEL MCALARNEY NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION UNLESS OTHERWISE PERMITTED. JUNE 27, 2023 4 Summary: Miami Beach, Florida; General Obligation The city adm inisters the following single-employer, defined benefit plans, as of Sept. 30, 2022: • Miami Beach Employees' Retirement Plan (MBERP ): 89% funded, measured using a 7.4% discount rate, with a $100.2 million net pension liability (NPL); and • Retirement System for Firefighters and Police Officers Plan (MBF&P): 86% fun ded, using a 7.55% discount rate, with a $198. 7 million NPL. While the systems' funded ratios improved about 10 percentage points over the past year, we expect that, given market performance since the measurement date, the funded ratios could decline. The city OPEB plan provides a monthly premium subsidy for eligible retirees and allows retirees to participate in the city's group health care plan. The unfunded liability is $364 million, with an OPEB trust fund that is 10% funded. Given health care cost trends, we believe OPEB costs are likely to increase. Miami Beach--Key credit metrics Most recent Historical information 2022 2021 2020 Very strong economy Projected per capita EBI % of U.S. 166 Market value per capita ($) 643,069 Population 93,631 95,111 County unemployment rate (%) 2.6 Market value ($000) 60,211,231 51,109,534 51,546,374 Ten largest taxpayers% of taxable value 3.9 Strong budgetary performance Operating fund result % of expenditures (5.5) 3.0 (6.1) Total governmental fund result% of expenditures 11.6 16.8 1.0 Very strong budgetary flexibility Available reserves % of operating expenditures 21.5 29.9 26.5 Total available reserves ($000) 80,856 102,010 89,543 Very strong liquidity Total government cash % of governmental fund expenditures 186 191 181 Total government cash % of governmental fund debt service 1,889 1,518 1,526 Very strong management Financial Management Assessment Strong Very weak debt & long-term liabilities Debt service % of governmental fund expenditures 9.9 12.6 11.8 Net direct debt % of governmental fund revenue 131 Overall net debt% of market value 2.5 Direct debt 10-year amortization (%) 30 Required pension contribution% of governmental fund expenditures 15.0 OPEB actual contribution % of governmental fund expenditures 3.3 WWW.STANARDANDP0ORS COM/RATINGSDIRECT THIS WAS PREPARED EXCLUSIVELY FOR USER MICHAEL MCALARNEY NOT fOR REDISTRIBUTION UNLESS OTIIERWISE PERMITTED. JUNE 27, 2023 5 Summary: Miam i Beach, Florida; General Obligation Miami Beach--Key credit metrics (cont.) Most recent Historical information 2022 2021 2020 Strong institutional framework EBI--Effective buying income. OPEB--Other postemployment benefits. Data points and ratios may reflect analytical adjustments. Related Research • S&P Public Finance Local G O Criteria: H ow We Adjust D ata For A nalyt ic Consistency, Sept . 12, 2013 • A ltern ative Financing: D iscl osur e Is Critical To Credit Analysis In Public Finance, Feb. 18, 2014 • Cri teri a G uidance: A ssessing U.S. Public Finance Pension A nd O ther Postem ploym ent O bligations For GO D ebt, Local G overn m ent G O R atings, A nd State R atings, O ct. 7, 2019 • T hro ugh T he E SG Lens 3.0: The Intersection O f ESG Credit Factors And U.S. Public Finance Credit Factors, M arch 2,2 022 Certain terms used in this report. particularly certain adjectives used to express our view on rating relevant factors, have specific meanings ascribed to them in our criteria, and should therefore be read in conjunction with such criteria. Please see Ratings Criteria at www.standardandpoors.com for further information. Complete ratings information is available to subscribers of RatingsDirect at www.capitaliq.com. All ratings affected by this rating action can be found on S&P Global Ratings' public website at www.standardandpoors.com. Use the Ratings search box located in the left column. WWW.STANDARDANDP0ORS COM/RATINGSDIRECT TIIIS WAS PREPARED EXCLUSIVELY fOR USER MICHAEL MCALARNEY NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION UNLESS OTIIERWISE PERMITTED JU NE 27, 2023 6 Copyr ight @ 2023 by Stan dard & Poor's Finan ci al Servi ces LLC. All rights reserved. No content (including ratings, credit-related analyses and data, valuations. model, softw are or other application or output therefrom) or any part thereof (Content) may be modified, reverse engineered, reproduced or distributed in any form by any means. or stored in a database or retrieval system. without the prior written permission of Standard & Poor's Financi al Services LLC or its affiliates (collectively, SP) The Content shall not be used for any unlawful or unauthorized purposes. 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P U B LI C F IN A N C E M ooD 's INVESTORS SERVICE CREDIT OPINION 28 June 2023 City of Miami Beach, FL Update to credit analysis Send Your Feedback C ontacts V alentina G om ez VP-Senior Analyst valen tina g om ez@m oodys.com +1.212.553.4861 M ich ael W ert z +1.212.553.3830 VP-Senior Analyst mi ch ael.w ertz@m oodys.com CLI ENT SER VICES Am ericas Asia Paci fic Japan EM EA 1-212-553-1653 852-3551-3077 81-3-5408-4100 44-20-7772-5454 Summary Miami Beach, FL (Aa2 stable) will continue to benefit from an expanding economic base, largely driven by retirees and tourism. Full value per capita is very strong although resident income lags medians, reflecting the large commercial component of the base. Finances are very strong and have increased in line with revenue growth Leverage and fixed costs are above medians and likely to remain elevated. Credit strengths » Stron g and growing full value per capita » Stron g financial position Credit challenges » Exposure to significant environmental risks, primarily sea level rise and hurricanes » Elevated leverage and fixed costs Rating outlook The stable outlook reflects the city's ongoing trend of positive financial performance driven by strong management and policies. Factors that could lead to an upgrade » Reduction in leverage and fixed costs » Improved resident income Factors that could lead to a downgrade » Significant additional debt » Substantial declines in fund and cash balances M O O D Y 'S IN V E S T O R S S E R V IC E U .S . PU B LI C FIN A N C E Key indicators Exhibit 1 M iami Beach (City of) FL 2019 2020 2021 2022 Aa Medians Econom y Resident incom e ratio (%) 78.6% 80.1% 78.0% N/A 115.0% Full Valu e ($000) $51,277,077 $49,604,486 $49,647,991 $49,790,759 $2,649,338 Population 90,108 89,439 83,469 N/A 22,694 Full value per capita ($) $569,062 $554,618 $594,808 N/A $108,666 Econom ic gro wt h m etric{%) N/A 0.3% 0.7% N/A -0.5% Financi al Perf orm ance Revenue ( $000) $751,696 $679,946 $757,354 $829,166 $48,404 Available fund bal ance ($000) $434,388 $487,013 $511,406 $628,175 $24,069 Net unr estricted cash ($000) $944,626 $923,965 $1,022,520 $1,042,580 $32,092 Available fund balan ce ratio (%) 57.8% 71.6% 67.5% 75.8% 51.0% Liquidity ratio (%) 125.7% 135.9% 135.0% 125.7% 69.0% Leverage Debt ($000) $1,194,604 $1,262,060 $1,229,683 $1,213,694 $34,496 Adjusted net pension liabilities ($000) $1,6 20,207 $2,177,338 $2,277,994 $1,982,724 $55,543 Adjusted net O PEB liabilities ($000) $403,046 $449,405 $428,451 $313,886 $6,316 Other long-term liabilities ($000) $86,532 $97,773 $93,767 $90,203 $1,623 Long-term liabilities ratio (%) 439.6% 586.3% 5321% 434.2% 244.8% Fixed costs Im plied debt servi ce ($000) $80,258 $87,098 $90,380 $86,250 $2,436 Pension tread w ater contribution ($000) $60,529 $66,847 $52,526 N/A $1,565 O PEB con tribution s ($000) $13,964 $9,358 $16,242 $16,553 $178 Im plied cost of other long-term liabilities ($000) $6,119 $6,309 $7,002 $6,577 $109 Fixed-co sts ratio (%) 21.4% 24.9% 21.9% 19.5% 11.1% For definitions of the metrics in the table above please refer to the US Cities and Counties Methodology or see the Glossary in the Appendix below. Metrics represented as N/A indicate the data were not available at the time of publication. The medians come from our most recently published US Cities and Counties Median Report. The Economic Growth metric cited above compares the five-year CAGR of real GDP for Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL Metropolitan Statistical Area to the five-year CAGR of real GDP for the US. Sources: US Census Bureau, Miami Beach (City of) FL's financial statements and Moody's Investors Service, US Bureau of Economic Analysis Profile The City of Miam i Beach is located in Miam i-Dade County {Aa2 stable) in southeastern Florida, directly east of Miami across Biscayne Bay, on the Atlantic co ast Detailed credit considerations Economy The City of Miam i Beach is located on a barrier island across the bay from Miam i (Aa2 stable) and is a tourism and retail hub in south Flo rida_ (Aaa stable). Full value per capita is a very strong $721,297, reflecting the large co mmercial and hotel presence as well as the significant am ount of very high-end real estate. Preliminary assessed values increased 10.4% th is year for the fiscal 2024 budget However, resident inco me is below the median of similarly rated issuers at 78% of the US median. April 2023 unemployment was a very low 1.4% com pared to the state (2.3%) and nation (3.1%), despite a labor force that has reco vered to pre-pandemic levels. This publication does not announce a credit rating action For any credit ratings referenced in this publication, please see the issuer/deal page on https://ratings moodys com for the most updated redit rating action information and rating history 28 June 2023 City of Miami Beach, FL Update to credit analysis M O O D Y 'S IN V E S T O R S S E R V IC E U .S . PU B LI C FIN A N C E Exhibit 2 Resident Income ■Median household income ($) - Resident income ratio (%) pa median resident income ratio (%) 60,000 40,000 20,000 0 -- ... 120 110 100 90 80 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Source: Moody's Investors Service The city is heavily reliant on tourism and is the most popular destination in the county. The city completed a convention center renovation in 2020 and a new adjacent hotel is slated to open in 2026. The city and region have rebounded from the pandemic with a record 26.S million travelers in 2022 to the greater Miami and Miami Beach area, according to the Greater Miami Convention & Visitors Bureau (GMCV) The city's location on a barrier island makes it particularly susceptible to flood and storm surge risk. Management has invested substantially in raising sidewalks and streets and stormwater and water and sewer infrastructure. City management participates in the 100 Resilient Cities network and is a Steering Committee member of the South Florida Climate Compact. Management includes sea level rise assumptions in all capital planning and will continue to invest in climate change mitigation. Financial operations The city maintains a strong financial position given conservative budgeting and formal policies. The city's revenues are comprised primarily of governmental revenues (67.2% of total revenues) with the remainder from business type activities, specifically water and sewer, parking, stormwater and convention center funds. In fiscal 2022, available fund balance and net current assets increased to 75.8% of operating revenues despite a general fund deficit due primarily to investment losses. Fiscal 2023 year end projections include a $5.6 million surplus in the general fund driven by strong revenue performance. Half-way through the year, all business type activity funds were performing well compared to budget. Exhibit 3 Fund Balance ■General fund ■Other governmental funds ■Internal service funds ■Business-type activities - Available fund balance ratio(%) Aa median available fund balance ratio(%) $600,000 400,000 200,000 0 70 60 50 2019 2020 2021 2022 Source: Moody's Investors Service 28 Jun e 2023 City of Miami Beach, FL: Update to credit analysis M O O D Y 'S IN V E S T O R S S E R V IC E U .S . PU B LI C FIN A N C E Li q u i d i t y The city ended fiscal 2023 with $1 billion in total unrestricted cash and investments or a very strong 125.7% of operating revenue. Exhibit 4 Cash ■General fund ■Other governmental funds ■Internal service funds ■Business-type activities - Liquidity ratio(%) - Aa median liquidity ratio(%) $1,000,000 500,000 0 2019 2020 2021 2022 Source: Moody's Investors Service Leverage The city's long term liabilities ratio will remain elevated given considerable investment in climate mitigation related projects. The current issuance is the first tranche of two expected tranches for voter approved general obligation bonds for various arts and cultural infrastructure and resiliency projects. The total approved issuance was $159 million. Additional debt plans include the remaining $286 million of general obligation bonds approved in a 2018 referendum for public safety, neighborhoods and infrastructure, and parks and recreation projects. The fiscal 2024-2028 CIP is still in development but is estimated at $1.1 billion. Exhibit S Total Prim ary Governme nt - Long Term Liabilities ■Governmental Debt ■Business-Type Activity Debt ■Adjusted net pension liabilities ■Adjusted net other post-employment liabilities ■Other long-term liabilities - Long-term liabilities ratio(%) - Aa median long-term liabilities ratio(%) $4,000,000 2,000,000 0 600 500 400 300 200 2019 2020 2021 2022 Source: Moody's Investors Service Legal secu rity The bonds are supported by an unlimited ad valorem tax pledge Debt structure All of the city's debt is fixed rate. Debt-related derivatives The city does not have any exposure to derivatives. 4 28 June 2023 City of M iam i Beach, FL Update to credit analysis M O O D Y 'S IN V E S T O R S S E R V IC E U .S . P U B LI C FIN A N C E Pensions and OPEB The city maintains two single-employer, defined benefit pension plans Miami Beach Employees Retirement Plan (MBERP) and Retirement System for Firefighters and Police Officers (MF&P). The city maintains an OPEB trust which had a balance of $40.2 million at the end of fiscal 2022. Total fixed costs (implied debt service, and adjusted pension and OPEB contribution) in fiscal 2023 totaled an above average 19.5% of operating revenues. ESG considerations Miami Beach (City of) FL's ESG Credit Impact Score is Moderately Negative CIS-3 Exhibit 6 ESG Credit Impact Score y Moderately Negative NEGATIVE IMPACT POSITIVE IMPACT Fo r an issuer scored CI S-3 (M odera tely Negative), its ESG attribu tes are overall co nsidered as having a limited impact on the current rating, w ith greater potential for future negative im pact over tim e. The negative influence of the overall ESG attributes on the rating is m ore pro nounced co m pared to an issuer sco red CIS-2. So u rce: M o ody's Investors Serv ice Miami Beach, FL's ESG Credit Impact Score is a moderately negative (CIS-3) reflecting highly negative exposure to environmental risks that is partially mitigated by the area's extensive infrastructure development and planning, neutral to low exposure to social and positive governance considerations. The city also benefits from external financial and capital investment from other levels of government and other organizations to combat environmental challenges. These initiatives support the city's resilience and capacity to respond to external shocks. Exhibit 7 ESG Issuer Profile Scores ENVIRONMENTAL E-4 Highly Negative ! SOCIAL S-2 GOVERNANCE G-1 Neutral-to-Low a Positive -- ea Source: Moody's In vestors Service Environmental Miami Beach's overall E issuer profile score is highly negative (E-4) reflecting significant exposure to physical climate risks, particularly hurricanes and sea level rise. Risks across all other categories including water management, waste and pollution and natural capital is neutral to low. The city benefits from a regional approach through the Southeast Florida Regional Climate Change Compact and capital planning that guides ongoing infrastructure development Additionally, the city has implemented policies that govern building codes and development, all targeted at increasing its resiliency. Absent these mitigating initiatives or if the city fails to continue pursuing similar initiatives, the E IPS score will weaken. Social The city's S issuer profile score is neutral to low (S-2) reflecting neutral to low exposure to demographics, labor and income, education, housing health and safety and access to basic services. 28 June 20 2 3 City of Miami Beach, FL Update to credit analysis M O O D Y 'S IN V E S T O R S S E R V IC E U .S . P U B LI C FIN A N C E Governance M iam i Beach's very strong govern ance profile supports its rating, as captured by a positive G issuer pro file score (G-1), an d reflects the stro ng institutional structure needed fo r a local govern m ent of this size and co m plexity. The city's dem onstrated policy credibility and effectiveness and prudent budget m anagem ent are also inco rporated into th e G-1 issuer pro fil e sco re. Transparency and disclosure practices are sim ilar to peers. ESG Issuer Pro file Scores and Credit Im pact Sco res fo r the rated entity/transaction are available on M oodys.com . In order to view the latest sco res, please click here to go to the landing page fo r the entity/transaction on M D C and view the ESG Sco res section. 28 Jun e 2023 City of M iami Beach, FL. Update to credit analysis M O O D Y 'S IN V E S T O R S S E R V IC E U .S . P U B LI C F IN A N C E Rating methodology and scorecard factors The U S Cities and Counties Rating M ethodology incl udes a sco recard, w hich sum m arizes the rating factor s generally m ost im portant to city and co unty cr edit pro files. Because the sco recard is a sum m ary , and may not include every consideration in the cr edit analysis fo r a specific issuer, a sco recard-indicated outco m e m ay or m ay not m ap closely to the actual rating assigned. Exhibit 8 Miami Beach {City of) FL Measure Weight Score Economy Resident income ratio 780% 10.0% Baa Full value per capita 721,297 10.0% Aaa Economic growth metric 0.7% 100% Aaa Financial Performance Available fund balance ratio 75.8% 20.0% Aaa Liquidity ratio 125.7% 100% Aaa Institutional Framework Institutional Framework Aa 100% Aa Leverage Long-term liabilities ratio 434.2% 20.0% Baa Fixed-costs ratio 19.5% 10.0% A Notching factors Additional Strength in Local Resources 0.5 Scorecard-Indicated Outcome Aa2 Assigned Rating Aa2 The complete list of outstanding ratings assigned to the Miami Beach (City of) FL is available on their issuer page. Details on the current ESG scores assigned to the Miami Beach (City of) FL are avialable on their ESGView page. Sources: US Census Bureau, Miami Beach (City of) FL's financial statements and Moody's Investors Service 28 June 2 0 2 3 City of Miami Beach, FL. Update to credit analysis M O O D Y 'S IN V E S T O R S S E R V IC E U .S . PU B LI C FIN A N C E Appendix Exhibit 9 Key Indic ators Glossary Definition Typical Source" Econom y Resident income ratio Median Household Income (MHI) for the city or county, adjusted for MHE US Census Bureau - American Regional Price Parity (RPP), as a% of the US MHI Community Survey 5-Year Estimates RPP: US Bureau of Economic Analysis Full value Estimated market value of taxable property in the city or county State repositories; audited financial statements; continuing disclosures Population Population of the city or county US Census Bureau - American Community Survey S5-Year Estimates Full value per capita Full value/ population Economic growth metric Five year CAGR of real GDP for Metropolitan Statistical Area or county minus the five-year CAGR of real GDP for the US Real GDP: US Bureau of Economic Analysis Financi al perform ance Revenue Sum of revenue from total governmental funds, operating and non- Audited financial statements operating revenue from total business-type activities, and non- operating revenue from internal services funds, excluding transfers and one-time revenue, e.g., bond proceeds or capital contributions Available fund balance Sum of all fund balances that are classified as unassigned, assigned or Audited financial statements committed in the total governmental funds, plus unrestricted current assets minus current liabilities from the city's or county's business- type activities and internal services funds Net unrestricted cash Sum of unrestricted cash in governmental activities, business type Audited financial statements activities and internal services fund, net of short-term debt Available fund balance ratio Available fund balance (including net current assets from business- type activities and internal services funds)/ Revenue Liquidity ratio Net unrestricted cash / Revenue Leverage Debt Outstanding long-term bonds and all other forms of long-term debt Audited financial statements; official across the governmental and business-type activities, including debt statements of another entity for which it has provided a guarantee disclosed in its financial statements Adjusted net pension liabilities (ANPL) Total primary government's pension liabilities adjusted by Moody's to Audited financial statements; Moody's standardize the discount rate used to compute the present value of Investors Service accrued benefits Adjusted net OPEB liabilities (ANOL) Total primary government's net other post-employment benefit (OPEB) liabilities adjusted by Moody's to standardize the discount rate used to compute the present value of accrued benefits Audited financial statements; Moody's Investors Service Other long-term liabilities (OLTL) Miscellaneous long-term liabilities reported under the governmental and business-type activities entries Audited financial statements long-term liabilities ratio Debt+ ANPL + ANOL + OLTL / Revenue Fixed costs Implied debt service Annual cost to amortize city or county's long-term debt over 20 years with level payments Audited financial statements; official statements; Moody's Investors Service Pension tread water contribution Pension contribution necessary to prevent reported unfunded pension liabilities from growing, year over year, in nominal dollars, if all actuarial assumptions are met Audited financial statements; Moody's Investors Service OPEB contribution City or county's actual contribution in a given period Audited financial statements Implied cost of OLTL Annual cost to amortize city or county's other long-term liabilities over 20 years with level payments Audited financial statements; Moody's Investors Service Fixed-costs ratio Implied debt service+ Pension tread water+ OPEB contributions+ Implied cost of OLTL / Revenue N ote: If typical data source is not available then altern ative sources or proxy data may be co nsidered. For more detailed definitions of the metrics listed above please refer to the US City an d Coun ties Methodology . Source: Moody's Investors Service 8 2 8 Jun e 2 0 2 3 City of Miami Beach, FL. Update to credit analysis MOODY'S INVESTORS SERVICE U.S. PUBLIC FINANCE ) 2023 Moody's Corporation, Moody's Investors Serice, Inc, Moody's Analytics, Inc and/or ther licensors and affiliates (collectively, "MOODY'S"). Alt rights reserved CREDIT RATINGS ISSUED BY MOODY'S CREDIT RATINGS AFFILIATES ARE THEIR CURRENT OPINIONS OF THE RELATIVE FUTURE CREDIT RISK OF ENTITIES, CREDIT COMMITMENTS, OR DEBT OR DEBT-LIKE SECURITIES, AND MATERIALS, PRODUCTS, SERVICES AND INFORMATION PUBLISHED BY MOODY'S (COLLECTIVELY, "PUBLICATIONS") MAY INCLUDE SUCH CURRENT OPINIONS. MOODY'S DEFINES CREDIT RISK AS THE RISK THAT AN ENTITY MAY NOT MEET ITS CONTRACTUAL FINANCIAL OBLIGATIONS AS THEY COME DUE AND ANY ESTIMATED FINANCIAL LOSS IN THE EVENT OF DEFAULT OR IMPAIRMENT. 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M]KK and MSF] are credit rating agencies registered with the Japan Financial Services Agency and their registration numbers are FSA Commissioner (Ratings) No. 2 and 3 respectively M]KK or MSF] (as applicable) hereby disclose that most issuers of debt secunrties (including corporate and municipal bonds, debentures, notes and commercial paper) and preferred stock rated by MJKK or MSF] (as applicable) have, prior to assignment of any credit rating, agreed to pay to MJKK or MSF] (as applicable) for credit ratings opinions and services rendered by it fees ranging from [PY100,000 to approximately PY550,000,000 M]KK and MSF] also maintain policies and procedures to address Japanese regulatory requirements REPORT NUMBER 13 74386 9 28 June 20 2 3 City of Miami Beach, FL. Update to credit analysis M O O D Y 'S IN V E S T O R S S ER V IC E U .S . PU B LI C FIN A N C E CLIENT SERVICES Americas Asia Pacific Japan EMEA 1-212-553-1653 852-3551-3077 81-3-5408-4100 44-20-7772-5454 MooDY's INVESTORS SER VICE 10 28 June 2023 City of Miami Beach, FL. Update to credit analysis